O preço do Bitcoin cai 5% à medida que o segundo dia de perdas custa à Ethereum US $ 2 mil.

Um mar de vermelho cumprimenta os investidores na quarta-feira, conforme a culpa muda para os comprados alavancados e a necessidade de liquidar suas posições.

O Bitcoin ( BTC ) estendeu sua queda de preço na quarta-feira em meio a advertências de que posições longas excessivas precisam ser eliminadas para permitir novos ganhos.

O preço do BTC mal se apega ao suporte de $ 56.000

Cointelegraph Markets Pro e TradingView mostraram BTC / USD atingindo novas mínimas locais de $ 55.760 durante as negociações de quarta-feira.

Um segundo dia de perdas mais substanciais para o par veio quando as altcoins também começaram a reverter seus sucessos anteriores, com Bitcoin Loophole caindo abaixo de $ 2.000.

Uma análise do comportamento do trader apontou para posições compradas alavancadas no preço à vista anterior, indicando a crença de que mais alta é mais provável que outra correção. Essas posições, acredita o analista Filbfilb, precisam ser liquidadas antes que o Bitcoin possa fazer uma tentativa significativa de novos máximos históricos.

A última ação de preço foi de alguma forma para renovar a composição do mercado – US $ 2 bilhões em liquidações nas últimas 24 horas, US $ 600 milhões dos quais em uma única hora, de acordo com dados do recurso de monitoramento Bybt .

“Um grande influxo para uma carteira de baleias aconteceu em $ 55.172 no dia 23 de março” , acrescentou o serviço de monitoramento Whalemap , observando um possível piso.

“Vamos ver como o preço reage a este nível. Normalmente, o preço salta de tais suportes fortes. ”

Altcoins revertem forte início semanal

Em altcoins, o forte desempenho estava em perigo no momento em que este artigo foi escrito, com o Ether de volta abaixo de sua marca histórica de $ 2.000 e se afastando dos maiores máximos de todos os tempos.

O XRP e o DOT de Polkadot foram os maiores perdedores nas 10 principais criptomoedas por valor de mercado, perdendo mais de 10% no dia. Todos, exceto um dos 50 principais tokens, exceto stablecoins, estavam no vermelho.

Comentando, o popular trader Scott Melker culpou os traders excessivamente sensíveis.

“O Bitcoin espirra e solta algumas centenas de dólares, os negociantes nervosos entram em pânico e vendem seus alts como jabronis e Bitcoin Dominance aumenta. Bons tempos, ”ele twittou.

Bitcoin-gruveaksjer har overgått BTC med 455% de siste 12 månedene

Mens Bitcoin har økt 900% de siste 12 månedene, er aksjene i de fire største børsnoterte gruveselskapene opp 5000% i løpet av samme periode.

Til tross for de øverste børsnoterte Bitcoin-gruveselskapene som opererer med tap, har aksjekursene dramatisk overgått BTC de siste 12 månedene

Vises på CNBC, Fundstrat visepresident for digital asset strategi, Leeor Simron, delte sin analyse i markedsutvikling for de fire største børsnoterte gruveselskaper – Marathon Digital Holdings, Riot Blockchain, Hive Blockchain, og Hut 8, som hver representerer en markedsverdi på mer enn 1 milliard dollar.

I løpet av de siste 12 månedene fant Shimron at gjennomsnittlig avkastning for aksjer i gruveselskapene hadde vært 5.000%, mens BTC har fått 900% i løpet av samme periode. Ikke overraskende ble det funnet at aksjene hadde en “høy positiv korrelasjon” med BTC.

Forskeren konkluderte med at for hver 1% prisbevegelse i BTC, beveger Bitcoin Evolution gruvedeler seg i gjennomsnitt med 2,5%. Observasjonen gjelder imidlertid både prisoppgang og nedadgående prisbevegelse, noe som betyr at gruveaksjer sannsynligvis vil stupe med mer enn det dobbelte av BTCs aggresjon under baisse markedsforhold.

„De vil sannsynligvis bli hardt rammet når Bitcoin trekker ned,“ sa han

Shimron tilskrev den ville volatiliteten i gruvearbeider til mangelen på regulerte kryptoinvesteringsprodukter i USA, og spekulerte i at „inntil en Bitcoin ETF er godkjent, kan investorer se på offentlige gruveselskaper som en av de eneste måtene å få eksponering for Bitcoin.“

„Siden den primære inntektskilden er Bitcoin, er disse selskapene i utgangspunktet lange [på] bransjen – så investorer gjør i det vesentlige et“ plukk og spader „-spill når de investerer i gruvearbeidere.“
Han bemerket at Coinbases aksjer „handler til en verdivurdering av rundt 100 milliarder dollar i de private markedene,“ la Shimron til: „Det er tydelig at investorens appetitt er å få eksponering mot operatører innen kryptorommet, og gruvearbeidere er bare et annet segment innenfor det.“

Shimron bemerket også at forstyrrelser i forsyningskjeden midt i coronaviruspandemien var gunstig for de fire største gruveselskapene – som var i stand til å fylle på neste generasjons maskinvare, for eksempel Bitmains Antminer S19-serie.

„De har gjort en enorm kapitalinvestering og opererer med tap for å posisjonere seg for den nåværende oksekjøringen,“ sa han og la til:

“Ved å bygge opp kontantrentekapasiteten og øke driftskapasiteten, beskytter de seg effektivt mot konkurranse blant nye gruvearbeidere. Så de har økt stordriftsfordelene for å beholde markedsandeler, og jeg mener det burde gi utbytte fremover. ”

Betting on Bitcoin without owning BTC

Betting on Bitcoin without owning BTC – how does it work?

The Bitcoin price is rising and rising. But not only BTC enthusiasts can enjoy green candles. How you can also profit from the hype via classic stocks.

Until now, anyone who wanted to participate in the Bitcoin price first had to fight their way through the thicket of exchanges, wallets and the like in order to end up with physical Bitcoin at the end of the day. Quite time-consuming and hardly feasible for many. But times are changing. In the meantime, not only savvy hodlers can feast on Bitcoin’s dream returns, but also traditionally minded stockbrokers. With stock exchange companies like MicroStrategy, Square and Co., Bitcoin is entering the The News Spy scam portfolio in a roundabout way, so to speak. Three ways to participate in the Bitcoin price without owning BTC.

MicroStrategy is the talk of the town. Since the company switched to exchanging its US dollar reserves for bitcoin, the share price really only knows one direction: northwards. While the MSTR share (WKN: 722713 / ISIN: US5949724083) has been trading in no-man’s land between 50 and 200 US dollars since the dotcom bubble, since mid-2020 there has been no stopping it. MSTR is currently trading at USD 815 and has thus already multiplied compared to the same time last year. A year ago today, one share of MicroStratgey cost 136 USD – the company thus achieved a growth rate of about 500 percent in 12 months.

MSTR’s share price is unprecedented.

That’s huge. Especially when you consider that Bitcoin „only“ grew 430 percent in the same period. The company, whose core business is actually the distribution of business intelligence software, looks like a kind of leveraged bet on a bullish Bitcoin price on the stock market.

The rise can be explained by the extremely aggressive Bitcoin purchasing policy of the company’s management. MicroStrategy now holds an astounding 90,513 BTC – more than any other exchange company.

The dream returns of the company, which has not really changed anything in its business model except for the BTC accumulation policy, shows that the market is desperately looking for ways to participate in BTC.

But an MSTR investment is not without risk. After all, the share price these days shows all the characteristics of a classic bubble. For while the company’s treasurer is sitting on the largest digital gold hoard in stock market history, the core business is unchanged. The PE ratio, i.e. the ratio between share price and earnings per share, is at 3,294 higher than at any other Nasdaq-listed company. According to all classic stock market models, MSTR is overvalued by several orders of magnitude.

Jako że Ethereum wzbija się na nowy rekord wszech czasów, oto główne kryptowaluty wyprzedzające Bitcoina w tej chwili

Bitcoin i szerszy rynek kryptowalutowy wzrósł w ostatnich miesiącach, a cena bitcoina osiągnęła w styczniu maksimum na poziomie ponad 40 000 dolarów.

Od tego czasu cena bitcoina spadła z powrotem

Od tego czasu cena bitcoina spadła z powrotem, oddalając się od nowego rekordowego poziomu, nawet gdy ethereum, druga co do wielkości kryptowaluta pod względem wartości, kontynuowała wspinaczkę – dodając prawie 20% w ciągu ostatniego tygodnia.

Teraz, gdy ethereum po raz pierwszy przebija poziom 1500 dolarów za token etheru, co stanowi wzrost o 700% w ciągu ostatnich 12 miesięcy – oto inne główne kryptowaluty, które obecnie osiągają lepsze wyniki niż bitcoin.

Rynek bitcoinów i kryptowalut, nadal silnie zdominowany przez cenę bitcoina i jego kapitalizację rynkową wynoszącą prawie 700 miliardów dolarów, wspiął się z powrotem powyżej łącznej wartości 1 biliona dolarów po przekroczeniu tego kamienia milowego po raz pierwszy w zeszłym miesiącu.

Cardano i stellar, które wzrosły o około 30% w ciągu ostatniego tygodnia, oraz litecoin, notowany o 15% wyżej, należą do największych kryptowalut, które obecnie prześcigają ostatnie wzrosty cen bitcoina.

Ethereum, wspinając się o prawie 10% w ciągu ostatnich kilku dni, odnotowało nowy rekord wszech czasów dzięki temu, że zarządzający aktywami cyfrowymi Grayscale Investments ponownie otworzył swój Ethereum Trust dla akredytowanych inwestorów w poniedziałek, po tym jak zamknął swoje wirtualne drzwi pod koniec grudnia.

Jest częściowo odpowiedzialna za masowy rajd bitcoina

Uważa się, że Grayscale, część rozległej Digital Currency Group, jest częściowo odpowiedzialna za masowy rajd bitcoina w ostatnich miesiącach, przy czym fundusz skupował znaczne ilości bitcoina, aby zaspokoić popyt ze strony inwestorów instytucjonalnych, którzy szukają ekspozycji na kryptowalutę.

The Grayscale Ethereum Trust miał ponad 4 miliardy dolarów w aktywach pod zarządzaniem na koniec stycznia, według firmy.

„Simon Peters, analityk bitcoina i kryptowalut eToro, powiedział w komentarzach przesłanych pocztą elektroniczną, wskazując na inwestorów blokujących tokeny, aby otrzymać nagrody za staking ethereum 2.0 i wzrost zdecentralizowanych protokołów finansowych (DeFi), które w większości działają na blockchainie ethereum, jako pomocne w pchnięciu ceny w górę.

„Oczywiście nic nie idzie w górę w linii prostej i będzie dalsza zmienność, ale ten napędzany popytem bieg w górę wygląda na bardziej niż trwały“ – dodał Peters.

Zwyżkę na rynku kryptowalutowym wspomógł nieoczekiwany rajd na XRP firmy Ripple, który wzrósł o prawie 50% w ciągu ostatniego tygodnia, po tym jak stał się celem traderów detalicznych zorganizowanych za pośrednictwem Reddit’s WallStreetBets i grup handlowych Telegram.

XRP, cyfrowy token stworzony przez zagrożoną firmę Ripple z siedzibą w San Francisco, wzrósł po tym, jak traderzy przestali pompować dogecoin, żartobliwego rywala bitcoina, nazwanego przez Elona Muska „ulubioną“ kryptowalutą.

Hodler loses $ 242 million worth of bitcoins

Many crypto fans appreciate crypto currencies such as Bitcoin mainly because of the decentralization and freedom of all regulations. A current example of a German programmer in the USA shows that the latter can also be a disadvantage for users.

Actually, Stefan Thomas had done everything right when he received several thousand Bitcoins from a Hodler in 2011 and has not sold them to this day

According to reports from the New York Times , he has 7,002 Bitcoin worth approximately $ 242,380,000 as of 1/13/2021. He saved the password of his wallet on a hard drive called IronKey and wrote it down on a piece of paper for security. But he can no longer find this piece of paper.

Without access to the wallet, the bitcoins are worthless to him. IronKey users have a total of ten attempts to enter the correct password until the hard drive is locked and the Bitcoin Code are lost forever. Thomas has already tried his luck eight times – but without success.

I just lie in bed and think about it. Then I go to the computer with a new strategy, it doesn’t work and I’m desperate again.

The manufacturer of the hard disk could not help the programmer with his password search either. Finally, Thomas decided to get the computers with the lost bitcoins out of his field of vision, as seeing them constantly reminded him of his faux pas.

Thomas loss is not an isolated incident

Traditional banking customers do not automatically lose their assets by forgetting their password. The situation is different for users of a crypto wallet. Jan Bindig, CEO of the data recovery specialist Datarecovery, warned against this problem back in 2018:

If you lose or forget your password, you have automatically lost all of your Bitcoins.

Despite these warnings, users seem to make the same mistake over and over again. So did a Los Angeles-based entrepreneur. He also forgot his password and lost thousands of bitcoins in this way. He told Brad Yasar newspaper that over the years he would have spent hundreds of hours getting back into his wallet.

According to Chainalysis , a fifth of the existing 18.5 million Bitcoins have already been lost in this way. 3.7 million Bitcoin would have simply vanished into thin air.

Bitcoin sets new all-time highs again – further increases could be imminent

Bitcoin and the aggregate cryptocurrency market are in another uptrend, with the bulls retaining full control of the market.

This uptrend follows an intense sell-off last night – the result of incredibly high funding rates on margin trading platforms.

The downward movement reset these funding rates and cleared out “late longs” – which laid the foundation for an upward movement.

An analyst said in a tweet that this surge was due to a spate of OTC purchases

This is a bullish sign because it suggests that large buyers are still buying Bitcoin – despite its relatively high prices.

Bitcoin and the aggregated cryptocurrency market are caught in the clutches of yet another uptrend, with Bitcoin rising above $ 40,000 as the rest of the market follows closely on its heels.

This intense boom is simply an extension of the momentum Bitcoin Lifestyle has seen over the past few weeks and months – and comes as a combination of retail investor money and institutional capital pouring into the markets.

An on-chain analyst comments that OTC activity has been just before the $ 40,000 mark recently and could indicate that another spike is imminent.

Bitcoin tops $ 40,000, upward trend continues

At the time of writing, Bitcoin (To Buy Bitcoin at Plus 500 Instructions) is trading at just under 3% up at its current price of $ 40,500. This is roughly the price it has been trading at all morning.

It rose briefly to $ 42,000 before facing some selling pressures that hampered its growth and caused a regression to $ 39,000.

It has since rebounded from that lows and is showing some immense signs of strength as the bulls try to push it back towards $ 41,000.

On-chain analyst: This triggered the recent surge in BTC

An on-chain analyst wrote in a tweet that Bitcoin’s recent spike came just days after a massive surge in over-the-counter buying activity.

He notes that these investors are currently up 24% on their BTC investments.

“When we look at the recent Coinbase outflows, possibly OTC trades, I think we can estimate their PNL. BTC is up 24% since Jan 2nd. If you were institutional investors, would you be satisfied with 24% PNL for Bitcoin? „

US$500 million in Bitcoin leaves Coinbase as institutions buy more than miners sell

Big money is still absorbing the available Bitcoin supply, despite short-term signs of decline.

US$500 million in Bitcoin leaves Coinbase as institutions buy more than miners sell

Bitcoin (BTC) again rejected the $24,000 during the night of December 24th, but data shows that the appetite for large buy-ins is only increasing.

As recorded by the on-chain CryptoQuant analysis feature, two large withdrawals from Coinbase Pro alone were responsible for moving over 12,000 BTC ($278 million) this week.

Withdrawal from Coinbase comes to $550 million
As reported by the Cointelegraph, although not proven, the large outflow peaks suggest that a purchase of a large amount of BTC and profits are being transferred to a single storage portfolio.

„Another large outflow from Coinbase a few hours ago,“ added Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, in comments on Twitter.

„Institutional investors are buying BTC $.“

In November, the miners unblocked just under 28,000 BTC in bulk rewards – little more than the sum total of the two Coinbase Pro transactions. This tightening of the offer is a central argument for the continued rise in prices.

Grayscale leads institutions to compete for BTC supply
The underlying desire to suck the Bitcoin offer in $23,000 contrasts with external factors that influence market sentiment, particularly around the Ripple process in the US and the changing expectations about MT.Gox’s payment replenishment processes.

Concerns about Ripple’s associated altcoin XRP and its difficulty in trading, thanks to a lawsuit, appeared to trigger considerable volatility in the Bitcoin over the last 24 hours.

At the same time, the market is awaiting the distribution of MT’s resources. Gox. Gox’s creditors, who after a six-year hiatus, may be anxious to sell part or all of its BTC at 2020 prices, resulting in $3.2 billion of additional selling pressure.

Beyond these short-term factors, however, it remains clear that institutions are optimistic about Bitcoin as a whole, with new commitments emerging almost constantly.

The investment giant Grayscale now controls $16.4 billion in assets under management, adding $500 million in a single day, confirms Wednesday’s latest figures.

Byki BTC wycelują w 18 000 $: czy obecny trend spadkowy może wkrótce się odwrócić?

Wczoraj wieczorem cena BTC znacznie spadła do 17 700 USD, gdy byki pozornie straciły kontrolę nad kursem ceny monety.

Jednak para BTCUSD odbiła się z powrotem w kierunku 18.400 $ po spadku do tych minimów

Odbicie nastąpiło po upartej wiadomości, że amerykańska firma ubezpieczeniowa MassMutual Life Insurance kupiła fizyczne BTC o wartości 100 milionów dolarów.

Firma ubezpieczeniowa podobno kupiła monety za pośrednictwem NYDIG, nowojorskiej firmy zajmującej się utrzymywaniem i realizacją transakcji. Według założyciela NYDIG, Rossa Stevensa, wiele innych firm ubezpieczeniowych żądnych zwrotu kupiło BTC, aby zabezpieczyć swoje portfele przed inflacją i generować zwroty w celu wypłaty roszczeń.

To powiedziawszy, bitwa między bykami i niedźwiedziami o kontrolę nad średniookresową perspektywą kryptograficzną benchmarku jest daleka od zakończenia.

Bitcoin obecnie stara się nabrać rozpędu po ponownym wzroście presji na sprzedaż, co skutkuje obrotem kryptowalut poniżej 18000 USD.

Jeden analityk uważnie obserwuje te kluczowe poziomy

W chwili pisania tego artykułu BTC spadł o nieco poniżej 1% przy obecnej cenie 17 950 USD. Wydaje się, że istnieje pewien opór uniemożliwiający przekroczenie 18 000 USD przez aktywa cyfrowe, chociaż rynek również nie odnotował żadnej intensywnej wyprzedaży.

Jednak fala może wkrótce zmienić się na korzyść byków, ponieważ kupujący będą próbowali zepchnąć wiodącą kryptowalutę z powrotem powyżej 18 000 USD. Ten krytyczny poziom działał jako mocna podstawa wsparcia dla BTC przez cały czwartkowy handel.

Jeden z analityków popiera teorię, że obecny trend spadkowy BTC może wkrótce się odwrócić , zauważając, że jego celem wzrostowym jest 18 500 USD.

Wybitny analityk CryptoMichNL podzielił się swoimi przemyśleniami na temat kilku kluczowych poziomów, które mogą odegrać znaczącą rolę w krótkoterminowej akcji cenowej BTC.

„Trend wciąż spada, ale możemy zobaczyć potencjalny bycze wyzwolenie, jeśli $ BTC spadnie powyżej 17 800 USD za wsparcie. Następnie następny wyzwalacz to 18 500 USD. Jednak nie robiąc tego -> 17 000 $, a następnie 16 300 $ – napisał na Twitterze analityk .

Pomimo tej upartej prognozy, analityk sieciowy Ki-Young Ju zwraca uwagę na niepokojący znak dla Bitcoina. On zauważył, że jeden znany adres górnik przeniósł 800 BTC do wymiany Binance w dniu gru 10, zgodnie z danymi z CryptoQuant.

Trend ten sugeruje, że niektórzy górnicy spodziewają się spadku ceny BTC w nadchodzących tygodniach i tym samym zabezpieczają swoje zasoby.

„Tratar de predecir el precio de Bitcoin es un juego de perdedores“

„Tratar de predecir el precio de Bitcoin es un juego de perdedores“, dice el renombrado experto en finanzas

¿Realmente tiene sentido mirar los gráficos y hacer un análisis fundamental de Bitcoin? Mark Mobius cree que estás perdiendo el tiempo al hacerlo.

¿Qué está pasando con Bitcoin? Después de desencadenar el ánimo alcista de todo el mundo, la creación de Satoshi Nakamoto experimentó una de las 1K Daily Profit peores caídas del año, como si alguna providencia divina le dijera a los comerciantes que se lo tomaran con calma.

Los análisis son contradictorios, pero algunos expertos afirman que esta contradicción ocurre porque no hay una sustancia real que estudiar, y la inversión en criptografía podría estar peligrosamente cerca del territorio del juego.

Comerciante BTC = Perdedor

Mark Mobius es uno de los expertos que apoyan esta tesis. El fundador de Mobius Capital Partners LLP y aclamado como autoridad en los mercados emergentes dijo a Financial News que no tenía sentido tratar de analizar los precios de bitcoin porque, al final, no sigue ningún patrón. Sus palabras son claras:

„Tratar de predecir el precio de Bitcoin es un juego de perdedores“.

Sin duda es un reto intentar hacer comparaciones. A lo largo del año, Bitcoin ha estado altamente correlacionado con el oro y el SP500, lo que tiende a ser algo contraintuitivo. Un reciente informe de Fidelity Digital Assets dijo que Bitcoin era „único“ entre todos los activos de inversión, lo que en pocas palabras significa que su precio hace lo que quiere.

Esto podría reforzar la teoría de que hay mucha aleatoriedad en el rendimiento de Bitcoin. Por ejemplo, al principio de la pandemia, perdió el 50% de su valor, y luego -en el pico de la pandemia- comenzó una corrida de toros sostenida. Poco después de las elecciones presidenciales de EE.UU., la ficha aceleró su ascenso casi hasta convertirse en tierra de burbujas.

Mobius explica sin rodeos que especular con el bitcoin es muy similar a ganar la lotería -o jugar al póquer, para aportar algo de habilidad humana a la ecuación:

„[El precio de Bitcoin está] basado en ninguna información fiable… [Su subida es una] operación de casino basada en todo tipo de rumores y especulaciones.“

Los críticos de Bitcoin están encantados después de la corrección

Por supuesto, cuando el precio cae, las voces de los críticos de Bitcoin resuenan aún más fuerte. No es sólo Mobius quien ha emitido algunas advertencias; los más conocidos anti-bitcoin del cripto-verso también tuvieron una o dos palabras.

El famoso odiador de la BTC, Nouriel Roubini, dijo que invertir en la BTC era peor que apostar en un casino porque el mercado podía ser incluso menos transparente que una apuesta regulada.

Invertir en BTC es equivalente a llevar tu cartera a un casino y juego ilegal amañado; al menos en los casinos legítimos de Las Vegas las probabilidades no están en tu contra ya que esos mercados de apuestas no están manipulados de la manera en que lo está BTC. En su lugar, BTC es manipulado fuertemente por Tether & Whales. 8/n

– Nouriel Roubini (@Nouriel) 26 de noviembre de 2020

También, Peter Schiff comentó que el movimiento de MicroStrategy para adquirir bitcoin era peligroso. El famoso bicho de oro también lo llamó una apuesta.

Creo que es inapropiado que @michael_saylor apueste los fondos de los accionistas en #Bitcoin. Si MicroStrategy no tiene un uso productivo para su exceso de efectivo, debería empezar a pagar dividendos. Entonces los accionistas que quieran jugar a los dados en Bitcoin pueden hacerlo con su propio dinero.

Dos días después, en un podcast, criticó a Bitcoin por ser un mercado altamente manipulado con mucho potencial para quebrar

„Independientemente de si hace o no un nuevo alto, todavía espero que el precio se estrelle… Estamos en una posición muy, muy vulnerable en este momento para un retroceso mucho más sustancial… Claramente, hay un montón de personas de dentro que no quieren que eso suceda. Es un mercado altamente manipulado hasta el punto de que, si pueden llevar a Bitcoin a un nuevo máximo, harán todo lo posible por hacerlo. La pregunta es: ¿Pueden tener éxito?“

Todavía es demasiado pronto para hablar de un mercado bajista. Se esperaba la corrección y algunos incluso podrían decir que los mercados la necesitaban. Sin embargo, podría no ser una mala idea que los operadores de la cancha alcista se calmaran.

Y la próxima vez, espera lo inesperado… Tú decides si es un juego o una teoría.

Hyperbitcoinization – is the turning point around the corner?

For bitcoin maximalists, hyperbitcoinization is the end game. Only when BTC has completely displaced fiat money can one speak of success, according to the bullish stance of Bitcoiners. What to Know About Hyperbitcoinization.

“Bitcoin wins when all other currencies fail”, writes Bitcoin influencer ObiWan Kenobit in his much-cited medium article “ Hyperbitcoinization: Winner Takes All“. However, the term has existed since March 29, 2014. At that time employedNakamoto Institute author Daniel Krawisz dealt with the phenomenon of the complete displacement of fiat money by the crypto currency No. 1.

What does hyperbitcoinization mean?

Hyperbitcoinization has since been understood to mean both a state and a process that works towards this state: Bitcoin as the dominant world currency. A distinction is typically made between different stages of this process. While Bitcoin Billionaire is still in its early stages these days, authors like Krawisz and Kenobit believe that things move very quickly after a certain point. The latest bull run could indicate that Bitcoin is now moving into the next phase. Then, it is said, the opportunity costs of the BTC adaptation are lower than its rejection. One speaks of the so-called tipping point . Of course, nobody really knows when it will come.

Feed for this type of reasoning is a consideration of the prevalence of exponential technologies such as the Internet, telephones, and computers.

At the time, Krawisz defined hyperbitcoinization as “a voluntary transition from an inferior to a superior currency” – and thus remained true to the spirit of digital gold. After all, it is precisely this voluntary participation that distinguishes Bitcoin. Nobody is forced to use BTC, but anyone who wants is allowed to.

The argumentation of the maximalists goes something like this: There are no monopolists with a power overhang like in the central bank system with BTC; rather, everyone has the same rights of participation and so the transition from a fiat to a bitcoin system is, so to speak, grassroots democracy.

If Bitcoin wins, so hyperbitcoinization will one day be a reality, it will be because digital gold is the better currency . Kenobit therefore speaks of an „organic and self-organizing process.“

Hyperbitcoinization – a castle in the air?

Sure: Anyone who has invested in Bitcoin would like to see the astronomical rate of 100 million US dollars per BTC (the kenobit estimate) for the “Orange Coin”. But caution should be exercised with such exorbitant price forecasts at this early stage.

The arguments of the maximalists sound plausible. However, one cannot assume that the displacement of government money through Magic Internet Money will take place without friction losses. After all, the money monopoly is one of the most important sources of government financing for governments – laws and taxes accordingly offer a certain protection against the demonetization of fiat money.

And this is where it gets exciting: For this reason, Satoshi Nakamoto has optimized Bitcoin for precisely this use case. Maximalists attribute such great importance to the decentralization of BTC because state attacks are considered the most relevant attack vector against Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s resilience to coordinated attacks and government bans must be guaranteed. Otherwise, the experiment would fail before it even started properly.

In the history of digital gold, there has been no serious government attack on system integrity. This shows that Bitcoin is still in a comparatively early phase.

Better this way. Ultimately, this gives BTC more time to build a resilient infrastructure. Who knows, maybe the No. 1 cryptocurrency is actually this “cunning way” of which the economist Hayek spoke, with which we states can wrest the monopoly of money without them noticing.